Wednesday, November 23, 2011

Two More Wet Days then a Possible Dry Saturday.

Here are the top 50 rainfall storm totals from the NWS (starting 6am Monday ending 10am Wednesday)

  1. JUNE LAKE,WA..............10.10
  2. SHEEP CANYON, WA...........9.10
  3. CEDAR, OR..................8.65
  4. FRANCES, WA................8.50 ...CORRECTED...
  5. FOSS, OR...................8.06
  6. SOUTH FORK, OR.............7.63
  7. SPENCER MEADOWS, WA........7.60
  8. LEES CAMP, OR..............7.50
  9. LONE PINE, WA..............7.40
  10. COUGAR, WA.................7.24
  11. SPIRIT LAKE, WA............6.50
  12. GRANDE RONDE, OR...........6.30
  13. SURPRISE LAKE, WA..........6.00
  14. LOG CREEK, OR..............5.76
  15. SEINE CREEK, WA............5.70
  16. MILLER WOODS, OR...........5.70
  17. TILLAMOOK..................5.69
  18. SADDLE MOUNTAIN, OR....... 5.50
  19. RYE MOUNTAIN, OR...........5.36
  20. TILLAMOOK RAWS, OR.........5.35
  21. ROCKHOUSE, OR..............5.34
  22. BEAVER, OR.................5.31
  23. NORTH FORK, OR.............5.10
  24. TROUT LAKE, OR.............5.07
  25. JEWELL, OR.................5.00
  26. VERNONIA, OR...............4.93
  27. HORSE CREEK, OR............4.87
  28. SCAPPOOSE, OR..............4.60
  29. FOREST GROVE, OR...........4.49
  30. GASTON, OR.................4.46
  31. SCOGGINS DAM, OR...........4.35
  32. CANNIBAL RAWS, OR..........4.25
  33. CLEAR CREEK NEAR COUGAR, WA4.22
  34. YELLOWSTONE RAWS, OR.......3.91
  35. BONNEVILLE DAM, OR.........3.73
  36. WILKINSON RAWS, OR.........3.54
  37. LITTLE MEADOWS, OR.........3.50
  38. ASTORIA, OR................3.42
  39. ELKHORN MTN, WA............3.39
  40. TROUT CREEK RAWS, OR.......3.35
  41. MCMINNVILLE, OR............3.33
  42. SCOTTS MILLS, OR...........3.20
  43. WANDERERS RAWS, OR.........3.19
  44. VANCOUVER, WA..............3.14
  45. GOODWIN PEAK RAWS, OR......3.14
  46. PORTLAND AIRPORT...........3.12
  47. PEPPER CREEK, WA...........3.10
  48. RED BOX RAWS, OR...........3.08
  49. DETROIT, OR................3.08
  50. HILLSBORO, OR..............3.01
Now on to the forecast:
Tomorrow afternoon yet another front will bring more rain, however totals should only be near half an inch as shown in the image below of the 00z run of the NAM model
This front will bring snow levels down to about 2,500 and snow to the passes.
After the showers behind the front end Friday afternoon things will begin to dry out. However a weak warm front will pass just to the north of us. The good thing is rain is looking likely to stay just north of the metro area as shown in the image below of the 00z model showing the rain boundary right over the metro area.
After yet another front comes through on Sunday models are showing the jet stream lifting north and giving us a possible dry stretch starting Monday.
The image below shows a model forecast of the jet stream on Tuesday
 The jet stream lifts north due to a high pressure building over us and causing the jet steam to go around.


For skier/snowboarders:
Timberline forecast:
Thanksgiving Day: Snow, mainly after 10am. High near 27. Breezy, with a southwest wind between 14 and 22 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. 

Thursday Night: Snow. Low around 19. Windy, with a west wind 45 to 48 mph decreasing to between 30 and 33 mph. Winds could gust as high as 70 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible. 

Friday: Snow showers likely, mainly before 10am. Cloudy, with a high near 27. West wind between 11 and 18 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. 

Friday Night: A slight chance of snow after 10pm. Cloudy, with a low around 25. South southwest wind around 16 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Saturday: A 20 percent chance of rain. Cloudy and breezy, with a high near 32.
Thanks for reading
-Michael 

No comments:

Post a Comment